2004 Sully District Pinewood Derby Results

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If anyone's interested, here are the results from last year's event.

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Tigers
1st	2nd	3rd
Alex S., Pack 1459	Patrick G., Pack 1860	Matthew S., Pack 1459
Finalists (including ties): Matthew S., Patrick G., Tyler K., Joseph W., Billy K., Alex S., Henry M., Andrew T.

Wolves
1st	2nd	3rd
Ben S., Pack 146	Andrews C., Pack 1459	William K., Pack 1684
Finalists (including ties): Michael S., Calvin W., Andrew C., Tim B., Ben S., William K., Logan R., Mitch M.

Bears
1st	2nd	3rd
Daniel B., Pack 1684	Jimmy M., Pack 1863	David S., Pack 1459
Finalists (including ties): Ronnie G., Patrick A., Daniel B., Adam G., Chris K., David S., Jimmy M., William L., Kishan S.

Webelos I
1st	2nd	3rd
Adam W., Pack 1858	Troy T., Pack 1858	David M., Pack 1863
Finalists (including ties): David M., Troy T., Josh B., Joe S., Adam W., Corey S., Ryan W.

Webelos II
1st	2nd	3rd
Jonathan B., Pack 146	Marcus T., Pack 1858	Ryan M., Pack 146
Finalists (including ties): Jonathan B., Nathaniel C., Talon J., Ryan M., Andrew K., Marcus T., Michael D., Nathaniel C., DJ H.,

Grand Champion Races
1st	2nd	3rd
Adam W., Pack 1858	Troy T., Pack 1858	Jonathan B., Pack 146

Lane Statistics
Lane-by-lane "place" averages
Lane 1	Lane 2	Lane 3	Lane 4
2.539	2.496	2.443	2.474

Head-to-head lane results
Lane 1 vs. Lane 2	Lane 1 vs. Lane 3	Lane 1 vs. Lane 4	Lane 2 vs. Lane 3	Lane 2 vs. Lane 4	Lane 3 vs. Lane 4
112 to 116	108 to 120	110 to 118	112 to 116	112 to 116	116 to 112

None of the head-to-head lane results are statistically significant. For example, take the worst one which is Lane 1 versus Lane 3, 108 to 120.

If you flip a fair coin 228 times, the probability of 108 or fewer heads is over 23%. You can verify this in Microsoft Excel by entering the formula =BINOMDIST(108,228,0.5, TRUE).

If you make it a so-called "two tailed test", that is, you consider the chances of getting EITHER 108 or fewer heads OR 108 or fewer tails, then the probability is nearly 47%. In other words, even with perfectly matched lanes, you would expect a result such as this one nearly half the time.

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Last updated March 26, 2005, 10:00 AM